{"id":716,"date":"2022-11-09T04:03:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-09T04:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/?p=716"},"modified":"2022-11-21T16:06:41","modified_gmt":"2022-11-21T16:06:41","slug":"whats-ahead-for-mortgage-rates-and-home-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/2022\/11\/09\/whats-ahead-for-mortgage-rates-and-home-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"What\u2019s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Now that the end of 2022 is within sight, you may be wondering what\u2019s going to happen in the housing market next year and what that may mean if you\u2019re thinking about&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mykcm.com\/2022\/10\/17\/the-emotional-and-non-financial-benefits-of-homeownership\/\">buying a home<\/a>. Here\u2019s a look at the latest expert insights on both mortgage rates and home prices so you can make your best move possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Respond to Inflation<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s no doubt&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mykcm.com\/2022\/10\/04\/the-cost-of-waiting-for-mortgage-rates-to-go-down\/\">mortgage rates<\/a>&nbsp;have skyrocketed this year as the market responded to high inflation. The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/pmms\/archive\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">increases<\/a>&nbsp;we\u2019ve seen were fast and dramatic, and the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate even surpassed&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/freddiemac.gcs-web.com\/node\/26166\/pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">7%<\/a>&nbsp;at the end of last month. In fact, it\u2019s the first time they\u2019ve risen this high in over 20 years (<em>see graph below<\/em>):<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/files.mykcm.com\/2022\/11\/08144740\/mortgage-rates-rising-this-year-MEM.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.mykcm.com\/2022\/11\/08144740\/mortgage-rates-rising-this-year-MEM.png\" alt=\"What\u2019s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices? | MyKCM\" class=\"wp-image-105632\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>In their latest quarterly report,&nbsp;<em>Freddie Mac<\/em>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/research\/forecast\/20221021-quarterly-forecast-rapidly-rising-rates-declining-demand-driving-housing-market\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">explains<\/a>&nbsp;just how fast the climb in rates has been:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cJust one year ago, rates were under 3%. This means that while mortgage rates are not as high as they were in the 80\u2019s, they have more than doubled in the past year.&nbsp;<strong>Mortgage rates have never doubled in a year before.<\/strong>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Because we\u2019re in unprecedented territory, it\u2019s hard to say with certainty where mortgage rates will go from here. Projecting the future of mortgage rates is far from an exact science, but experts do agree that, moving forward, mortgage rates will continue to respond to inflation.&nbsp;<strong>If inflation stays high, mortgage rates likely will too.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Home Price Changes Will Vary by Market<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>As&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mykcm.com\/2022\/10\/18\/the-latest-on-supply-and-demand-in-housing\/\">buyer demand<\/a>&nbsp;has eased this year in response to those higher mortgage rates, home prices have moderated in many markets too. In terms of the forecast for next year, expert projections are mixed. The general consensus is home price appreciation will vary by local market, with more significant changes happening in overheated areas. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at&nbsp;<em>First American,&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.firstam.com\/economics\/pandemic-boom-markets-cooling-the-fastest\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">says<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cHouse price appreciation has slowed in all 50 markets we track,&nbsp;<strong>but the deceleration is generally more dramatic in areas that experienced the strongest peak appreciation rates.<\/strong>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Basically, some areas may still see slight price growth while others may see slight price declines. It all depends on other factors at play in that local market, like the balance between supply and demand. This may be why experts are divided on their latest national forecasts (<em>see graph below<\/em>):<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/files.mykcm.com\/2022\/11\/08144736\/home-price-forecasts-for-2023-MEM.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.mykcm.com\/2022\/11\/08144736\/home-price-forecasts-for-2023-MEM.png\" alt=\"What\u2019s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices? | MyKCM\" class=\"wp-image-105631\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>If you want to know what\u2019s happening with home prices or mortgage rates, connect with Mike Bredeson so you have the latest on what experts are saying and what that means for our area. You can reach Mike by calling 360.201.5088 or emailing Mike@JohnsonTeamRealEstate.com!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Now that the end of 2022 is within sight, you may be wondering what\u2019s going to happen in the housing market next year and what that may mean if you\u2019re thinking about&nbsp;buying a home. Here\u2019s a look at the latest expert insights on both mortgage rates and home prices so you can make your best [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":717,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-716","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"entry"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/whats-ahead-for-mortgage-rates-and-home-prices-KCM-600x400.jpg","featured_image_src_square":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/whats-ahead-for-mortgage-rates-and-home-prices-KCM-600x410.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"fawn","author_link":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/author\/fawn\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=716"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":718,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716\/revisions\/718"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/717"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=716"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=716"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=716"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}