{"id":737,"date":"2022-12-07T20:45:45","date_gmt":"2022-12-07T20:45:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/?p=737"},"modified":"2022-12-07T20:45:46","modified_gmt":"2022-12-07T20:45:46","slug":"despite-seasonal-slowdown-northwest-mls-brokers-report-pent-up-demand-for-housing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/2022\/12\/07\/despite-seasonal-slowdown-northwest-mls-brokers-report-pent-up-demand-for-housing\/","title":{"rendered":"Despite seasonal slowdown, Northwest MLS brokers report pent-up demand for housing"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">November statistics from Northwest Multiple Listing Service surprised few brokers. They point to holidays, inclement weather, and various economic factors for prompting pauses in listing and sales activity. Nonetheless, several industry leaders commented on positive signs, fueled in part by pent-up demand and evidence of easing inflation pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cDetermined buyers are purchasing homes, with pent-up demand driving the market,\u201d reported Dean Rebhuhn, owner of Village Homes and Properties in Woodinville. \u201cSellers who price to the market are attracting showings and receiving good offers,\u201d he added, noting King County experienced an average of 55 sales per day last month, with year-over-year (YOY) median prices in King County up $10,000, rising from $740,000 to $750,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Northwest MLS figures show both pending and closed sales fell sharply from a year ago, but median prices system-wide edged up slightly (0.88%), from $570,000 to $575,000. Pending sales (mutually accepted offers) across the 26 counties in the report were down 40% (dropping from 8,571 a year ago to 5,106) while closed sales fell 42% (declining from 8,976 to 5,194). NWMLS figures show brokers closed an average of 173 sales per day across all counties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The volume of closed sales, at 5,194, was the lowest level since February (5,147) and January (5,085). Compared to January\u2019s median price of $555,000, last month\u2019s buyers paid 3.6% more ($575,000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cOur traditional seasonal slowdown around the holidays is happening earlier this year, with the alignment of climbing interest rates, economic news, local weather, and a volatile stock market,\u201d stated John Deely, executive vice president of operations at Coldwell Banker Bain. \u201cThese conditions make it easier for consumers to place large purchases on hold, though we saw several notable sales in the luxury market over the last month, as real estate is still one of the best investments one can make,\u201d he remarked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Data from the multiple listing service shows 15.84% of November\u2019s sales topped $1 million, while a year ago 13.96% of sales were at that level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While some buyers are taking advantage of the expanding inventory as the market swings to their advantage, Deely said others are hesitant. \u201cSome buyers are sitting on the sidelines waiting for interest rates to come down or thinking prices will come down even further.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inventory statistics were mixed. Brokers added 4,890 new listings during November, a decline of 24.2% compared to the same month a year ago when they added 6,455 new listings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At month end, there were 12,245 total active listings, a whopping increase (about 165%) from the selection of a year ago when there were only 4,621 active listings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Measured by months of inventory, November\u2019s supply, at 2.36 months, was best since January 2019 when the overall selection reached 2.4 months of inventory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Frank Leach, broker\/owner at RE\/MAX Platinum Services in Silverdale, commented on Kitsap County\u2019s improving inventory. Northwest MLS figures show there was just under two months of supply (1.95 months), last month whereas a year ago there was only about two weeks of supply (0.57 months).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Leach described the market as \u201cnormalizing,\u201d adding, \u201cWe have seen an uptick in open houses, with healthy traffic during October and November. We anticipate brisk sales across the holidays and into the new year with inventory building toward the end of December and into January. We\u2019re telling folks to get pre-approved and have all their documents in so if the market does take a swing, they will be ready to seize the opportunity.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The latest statistics from Northwest MLS show both pending sales and closed sales in Kitsap County fell about 33% year-over-year. Median prices edged up slightly more than 1%, from $500,000 to $505,471.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Northwest MLS director Mike Larson, managing broker at Compass in Tacoma, also commented on the normalizing market, echoing comments about rates \u201cleveling off a bit, there\u2019s not nearly as much competition, and peak inflation appears to be behind us.\u201d Citing observations in a company newsletter, he agreed&nbsp;<a>it\u2019s<\/a>&nbsp;good news for buyers \u201cand a hopeful sign that after the holidays and the new year will come a more normal market.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fifteen of the 26 counties reported price increases from a year ago, with 11 counties having declines. All four counties in the Puget Sound region experienced modest price gains, ranging from about 1.1% in Kitsap County to 2.9% in Snohomish County.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe data show we\u2019re in a changed market,\u201d observed Dick Beeson, managing broker at RE\/MAX Northwest in Tacoma\/Gig Harbor. \u201cHigh interest rates, doubled inventory levels, anxious lenders, contracts written with negotiations for repairs, closing costs, and other sundry things \u2013 all of these have returned to the market,\u201d he said, adding, \u201cSellers realize they must actually compete with other sellers to gain a buyer\u2019s attention and an offer.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beeson reported some buyers \u201care having trouble pulling the trigger because their heads are spinning around\u201d in part because there\u2019s twice the inventory to choose from and the ever-changing market. In anticipation of further growth in inventory and rates edging down, he said brokers need to be ready to help buyers make informed decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate, noted both the number of home buyers and the number of new listings are running below pre-pandemic seasonal levels. \u201cThere is a shortage of unsold inventory, especially in the more affordable and mid-price ranges where approximately 80% of transactions take place within each market.\u201d He reported a strong level of activity intensity for new listings going under contract within the first 30 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cDecember is traditionally the low point of new listings coming onto the market because of the holiday season,\u201d Scott noted, while pointing to good news for buyers. \u201cHome mortgage interest rates are lower than a month ago!\u201d Noting economists forecast lower interest rates on the horizon as the economy works through lowering inflation, Scott reported, \u201cHomebuyers are currently purchasing at market price with the possibility to refinance when rates decrease. In the meantime, some buyers are purchasing with a five-year or seven-year adjustable-rate mortgage which lowers the interest rate and monthly payment.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Matthew Gardner, chief economist at Windermere Real Estate, is among those expecting mortgage rates to drop. \u201cEarly in the new year, I expect the Fed to start pulling back from their aggressive policy stance, and this will allow rates to begin slowly stabilizing.\u201d He believes rates will remain above 6% until fall 2023 \u201cwhen they should dip into the high 5% range. While this is higher than we have become used to, it\u2019s still more than 2% lower than the historic average.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meredith Hansen, founder\/operating principal at Keller Williams Greater Seattle and a NWMLS director, encouraged hopeful owners to consider purchasing options. \u201cWith rents expected to outpace home prices, it may be a good time to take the plunge into home ownership, especially for first-time buyers,\u201d she suggested. \u201cThese first-timer buyers should look at different opportunities to get their foot in the home ownership door.\u201d Among options she mentioned are possible rent to own opportunities or buying a home that needs work and building equity by \u201cusing elbow grease.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hansen also recommended would-be buyers tap into resources for prospective homeowners at the Washington State Housing Finance Commission, including its free homebuyer education seminars and down payment and closing costs assistance programs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking ahead, Gardner said he does not expect supply to grow significantly with inventory levels remaining well below their long-term average. \u201cIt\u2019s unlikely we\u2019ll see a buyer\u2019s market in 2023, but I do expect a return to a far more balanced one.\u201d He believes the days of sellers \u201chaving the upper hand are behind us,\u201d adding they will have to become more realistic \u201cwith accurate pricing becoming more important than ever.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Deely believes the 2023 market \u201cis shaping up to be quite competitive with building inventory and pent-up buyer demand.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>About Northwest Multiple Listing Service<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>As the leading resource for the region\u2019s residential real estate industry, NWMLS provides valuable products and services, superior member support, and the most trusted, current listing data and industry information for real estate professionals. NWMLS is a member-owned, not-for-profit organization with more than 2,500 member offices and 32,000 real estate brokers throughout Washington state. With extensive knowledge of the region, NWMLS operates 20 service centers and serves 26 counties, providing dedicated support to its members and fostering a robust, cooperative brokerage environment. nwmls.com.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>November statistics from Northwest Multiple Listing Service surprised few brokers. They point to holidays, inclement weather, and various economic factors for prompting pauses in listing and sales activity. Nonetheless, several industry leaders commented on positive signs, fueled in part by pent-up demand and evidence of easing inflation pressures. \u201cDetermined buyers are purchasing homes, with pent-up [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":738,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-uncategorized","entry"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Mike-Bredeson-1-600x400.jpg","featured_image_src_square":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Mike-Bredeson-1-600x600.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"fawn","author_link":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/author\/fawn\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=737"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":739,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737\/revisions\/739"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnsonteamrealestate.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}